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09/04/2010 - Hampton, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jamie McMurray won his first Nationwide Series race in nearly six years by taking Saturday's Great Clips 300 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
McMurray, who won the Daytona 500 and the Brickyard 400 in the Sprint Cup Series this season, passed Brad Keselowski after the final restart with 23 laps remaining. He then held off a hard-charging Kyle Busch in the closing laps for his eighth career Nationwide win, but his first since November 2004 at Darlington. His first career win in the series came in 2002 at Atlanta.
Busch was attempting to win his record 11th Nationwide race of the season.
Carl Edwards finished third, followed by Kevin Harvick, who won this race last year, and Matt Kenseth.
Keselowski, who did not pit during the final round of stops, wound up finishing 12th. His lead is now 332 points over Edwards.
<< Seahawks cut Houshmandzadeh, 20 more
Renton, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Veteran wide receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh was
given the boot by the Seattle Seahawks on Saturday after spending just one
season with the team.
The release of Houshmandzadeh came amid several moves by the Seahawk
<< Bears Release 21, including two '09 third-rounders
Lake Forest, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wide receiver Juaquin Iglesias and
defensive lineman Jarron Gilbert, a pair of third-round draft choices of the
Chicago Bears in 2009, were released by the team as part of their Saturday
"cut-down day" maneuve
<< Thrashers sign veteran F Modin
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Thrashers appear to have signed
veteran forward Fredrik Modin.
TSN of Canada on Saturday quoted the Swedish paper Aftonbladet as saying it's
a one-year deal, but no terms of the deal were discl
<< Bengals acquire safety Nelson from Jaguars
Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - On NFL cut-down day, the Cincinnati Bengals
made a move to bolster their defensive backfield by acquiring safety Reggie
Nelson from Jacksonville.
The Bengals sent cornerback David Jones to the Jaguars in
O's down Rays to give Showalter 900th win >>
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nick Markakis smashed a two-run homer and
Matt Wieters supplied a two-run double, as the Baltimore Orioles beat Tampa
Bay, 8-4, in the middle installment of a three-game series at Camden Yards.
Jeremy
Schulz grabs three-stroke lead at First Tee Open >>
Pebble Beach, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ted Schulz fired a eight-under 64 at
Pebble Beach on Saturday to grab a three-stroke lead after two rounds of the
First Tee Open.
Schulz, who is making his 12th Champions Tour start of the year, completed
Phils score twice in seventh to squeeze past Brewers >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ryan Braun's throwing error in the bottom
of the seventh allowed the Phillies to score the go-ahead run, as Philadelphia
got past Milwaukee, 5-4, in the second test of a three-game series at Citizens
Bank Pa
Chiefs release 13, including Morgan; Leggett and Urban to IR >>
Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Safety DaJuan Morgan was among the most
prominent players released by the Kansas City Chiefs on Saturday, as the team
reduced its roster to the 53-player maximum.
Morgan played in 28 games as a Chief after
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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